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Trading Traps in the ES: The Perfect Scalp Entry
by Mack
If you are not familiar with traps and how to trade them in the ES, then you are missing out on one of the
best scalping entries available. Traps occur often and the name is a very good descriptor of what actually
takes place. There are many reasons why traps occur, and there are several different ways to approach
them. What actually occurs with these traps is that multiple traders will enter a trade at the same location,
which is usually a tick above or below a previous bar. However, immediately upon entering the trade, the
market will instantly reverse on them, trapping those traders on the wrong side of the trade. When the
trapped traders realize that they have been duped, they begin exiting on the break of the previous bar.
This mass exodus adds fuel to the move and very quickly, the market will surge forward for a couple of
points at minimum in most cases.
When you see one of these traps setting up, you want to have a market "stop" order in place exactly where
the trapped traders will be exiting. As the duped traders all begin to exit, your order will be executed and
you will be swept into the trade with the exiting orders and the move will generally be swift and sudden,
making it very easy for you to scalp a point or more before the surge starts to lose momentum. My
preferred way to trade these traps is to scalp out with four ticks on one or more contracts, and then move
my stop to break even on one or more additional contracts, just in case the move continues even further.
It is difficult to easily describe these traps without a picture, but I will do my best to give you a good mental
picture of how these traps will look. Most often, these set ups will occur as a failed break above or below
some price level by only a tick or two, then quickly reverse. One good example is a failed break by a tick
or two of a small congestion area, which is nothing more than several overlapping bars. Be particularly on
alert if the failed break is counter trend. If you see a small congestion area in an upward trending market,
and suddenly prices have a one or two tick failed break lower out of the congestion, then that is very likely
to act as a trap, as there are many uneducated traders that will enter the market on these break outs only
to become immediately trapped on the wrong side of the market.
Another good trap may occur in a pull back. Assume the market is trending downward and prices
suddenly start pulling back. At some point the pull back will stall, and then start moving back with the
original trend again, only to quickly stall and start back up a second time. If the second attempt to reverse
suddenly fails after prices tick higher than a previous bar, there will be many traders that will be trapped to
the long side of a declining market. Most of them will be quick to exit as soon as prices start moving down
and take out the low of the previous bar. Their exit orders will be within a few ticks of the low of that bar,
and that is exactly where we want to have our entry stop order. These trades often move very fast, so you
often times need to have your order in place early, anticipating a possible trap. If the trap does not occur,
simply cancel the order. By having it in place ahead of time, you assure that you don't get left behind when
prices surge lower.
The two examples just given will produce some of the best traps, but there are other trap set-ups as well.
What you must be aware of with the ES is that it usually moves in twos or pairs. The ES market likes to
attempt things twice before giving up, and that's why traps work so well. Most everyone is aware of double
tops and double bottoms, and what is actually happening at a double top is that prices try twice to go
higher and fail. Simply reverse this for a double bottom. The market will try twice to go lower and fail both
times at the same level, and then suddenly reverse the trend. Whenever the market tries to do something
twice but fails, it will usually succeed in doing the opposite. Traps are very similar to double tops and
double bottoms, with the exception of the fact that the tops or bottoms are not equal to the tick. The right
side can be a few ticks higher, or a few ticks lower, but the formation will still work much the same as a
true double top or double bottom.
When these traps occur counter trend, the sudden reversal back with the original trend is often times swift
or very violent as the trapped traders realize that they were tricked and that the original trend is starting
back up again. It's the same principle of everyone heading for the door at once, and the mass exit creates
a vortex that drops or rises quickly depending on which way the market is moving. Study some of your
charts each day and look for these traps until you can learn to spot them. Once you get a good feel for
what they look like, you can start watching for them in real time. If you learn to spot and trade these
formations, you will forever change the way you look at a price chart. Most importantly, you can improve
your bottom line by only trading a couple of these each day.